Showing posts with label CL. Show all posts
Showing posts with label CL. Show all posts

Friday, February 10, 2017

Weekly Trade Summary: Feb 5-Feb 11

Last week I opened two broken wing put butterflies on the SPX (April 13 and April 21 expirations) and closed my crude oil (CL) futures options put butterfly:

(click to enlarge)

The corresponding entry for the CL trade is shown below:

(click to enlarge)

I currently have eight open trades, with expirations in March, April, and May. Total defined risk for these trades is currently at 45.1% of the account net liquidation value. This risk is broken down into the following groups:
  • 12.6% of net liq - deep out of the money broken wing put butterflies
  • 32.5% of net liq - core broken wing put butterflies at 75% of target size
Nine trades have been closed this year...eight wins and one loss.  Based on the statistics for these trades, I had expected more losing trades by this time. The butterfly that I am trading has historically been in the 75% win rate range.  Return on the account for the year is at 2.8%.

I will likely enter one SPX butterfly next week...a core position in the April 28 expiration.  Also, if the SPX continues it's bullish behavior I will make slight adjustments to a few of my open trades.


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Saturday, February 4, 2017

Weekly Trade Summary: Jan 29-Feb 4

Last week I opened two broken wing put butterflies on the SPX (April 7 expiration and May 19 expiration):

(click to enlarge)

I also had one trade expire for a loss.  The corresponding opening trade is shown below:

(click to enlarge)

The expiring trade lost slightly more than my target amount for this trade. Rather than close or adjust this trade in December, I chose to keep it open as a downside hedge through the US presidential inauguration ... just in case.

I currently have seven trades open, with all expiring in March or later. Total defined risk for my seven open trades is currently 32.6% of the account net liquidation value. This risk is broken down into the following groups:
  • 12.5% of net liq - deep out of the money broken wing put butterflies
  • 19.0% of net liq - core broken wing put butterflies at 75% of target size
  • 1.1% of net liq - /CL broken wing put butterfly test
Nine trades have been closed this year...eight wins and one loss.  Based on the statistics for these trades, I had expected more losing trades by this time. The butterfly that I am trading has historically been in the 75% win rate range.  Return on the account for the year is at 2.6%.

I will likely enter two SPX butterflies next week, one core position in the April 14 expiration and one non-core position in the April 21 expiration.  The April 14 expiration series should become available on Thursday.


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Sunday, January 29, 2017

Weekly Trade Summary: Jan 22-28

Last week I opened two SPX trades, and one CL trade:

(click to enlarge)

I currently have six trades open.  One expires on Feb 3, and five expire in March or later.

Total defined risk for my six open trades is currently 27.4% of the account net liquidation value. The Feb 3 trade is using 4.9% of the account net liq, and will expire next week...likely as a loss.

If the April 7 SPX option series becomes available next week, I will enter a trade with that expiration.


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