Sunday, February 25, 2018

Weekly Trade Summary: February 18 - February 24

This week I closed some hedges that were entered during the big market drop, and entered two new trades in smaller size. Details of this week's trading is shown below:

(click to enlarge)

Trade #4:  February 28 Weekly 
Expiration BWB - No adjustments this week
  • 07-December Entry (post)
  • 08-December Adjustment (post)
  • 19-December Adjustment (post)
  • 22-December Adjustment (post)
  • 02-January Adjustment (post)
  • 05-January Adjustment (post)
  • 05-February Hedge (post)
  • 06-February Hedge (post)
  • 08-February Hedge (post)
  • 09-February Hedge (post)
  • 14-February Hedge Exit (post)
  • 15-February Hedge Exit (post)
(click to enlarge)

Trade #5:  March 16 Monthly Expiration BWB - Adjusted 21-Feb
  • 02-January Entry (post)
  • 02-January Adjustment (post)
  • 05-January Adjustment (post)
  • 11-January Adjustment (post)
  • 22-January Adjustment (post)
  • 02-February Adjustments (post)
  • 05-February Hedge (post)
  • 06-February Hedge (post)
  • 08-February Hedge (post)
  • 09-February Hedge (post)
  • 14-February Hedge Exit (post)
  • 15-February Hedge Exit (post)
(click to enlarge)

Trade #6:  March 29 Weekly Expiration BWB - Adjusted 21-Feb
  • 09-January Entry (post)
  • 11-January Adjustment (post)
  • 22-January Adjustment (post)
  • 30-January Adjustment (post)
  • 02-February Adjustments (post)
  • 05-February Hedge (post)
  • 06-February Hedge (post)
  • 08-February Hedge (post)
  • 09-February Hedge (post)
  • 14-February Hedge Exit (post)
(click to enlarge)

Trade #7:  March 29 Weekly Expiration BWB - Adjusted 21-Feb
  • 09-January Entry (post)
  • 11-January Adjustment (post)
  • 22-January Adjustment (post)
  • 30-January Adjustment (post)
  • 02-February Adjustments (post)
  • 05-February Hedge (post)
  • 06-February Hedge (post)
  • 08-February Hedge (post)
  • 09-February Hedge (post)
  • 14-February Hedge Exit (post)
  • 15-February Hedge Exit (post)
(click to enlarge)

Trade #8:  April 20 Monthly Expiration BWB - Entry 21-Feb
  • 21-February Entry
(click to enlarge)

Trade #9:  April 30 Weekly Expiration BWB - Entry 21-Feb
  • 21-February Entry
(click to enlarge)

I currently have 6 open trades, with expirations in Feb (1), Mar (3), Apr (2). Total defined risk for these trades is at 97% of the account net liquidation value. Removing hedges last week increased the risk in the account.

(click to enlarge)

4 of the 6 trades are currently underwater with negative P&L. All of the P&L% numbers in the table below are based on the maximum risk associated with each trade.

(click to enlarge)

If I were to close all four trades at this time, my account would be down 3.6% for the year ... not terrible considering the market action during the first part of February.

3 trades have been closed this year, with 3 wins and 0 losses. Realized return on the account/portfolio for the year is at 1.07%.  Total win rate is at 100% including hedges. The win rate on the core trades is also at 100%. These numbers will very likely change as I close out my open trades.

If the SPX continues much above 2750, I will need to start closing out my Feb and March expiration trades for losses. The Feb trade will be expiring this week and will be a loss. I will be keeping an eye on the SPX this week. I will make adjustments to my existing trades as follows:
  • Highly Likely: N/A
  • Likely: N/A
  • Possible: #4, #5, #6, #7, #8, #9
  • Unlikely: N/A


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