Sunday, February 11, 2018

Weekly Trade Summary: February 4 - February 10

This week was a heck of a week. The SPX closed the prior week at 2762, and this week it hit a low of 2532 ... over an 8% drop. A lot of the big market action happened while I was flying between New York and Utah ... I was on flights nearly all day on both Monday and Friday. Unfortunately for me, the WI-FI on the flights was either not working or was spotty. Because of this I ended up hedging all of my trades at non-optimal times on those days.

Details of this week's trading is shown below:

(click to enlarge)

Trade #4:  February 28 Weekly Expiration BWB - Adjusted four separate days
  • 07-December Entry (post)
  • 08-December Adjustment (post)
  • 19-December Adjustment (post)
  • 22-December Adjustment (post)
  • 02-January Adjustment (post)
  • 05-January Adjustment (post)
  • 05-February Adjustment
  • 06-February Adjustment
  • 08-February Adjustment
  • 09-February Adjustment
(click to enlarge)

Trade #5:  March 16 Monthly Expiration BWB - Adjusted four separate days
  • 02-January Entry (post)
  • 02-January Adjustment (post)
  • 05-January Adjustment (post)
  • 11-January Adjustment (post)
  • 22-January Adjustment (post)
  • 02-February Adjustments (post)
  • 05-February Adjustment
  • 06-February Adjustment
  • 08-February Adjustment
  • 09-February Adjustment
(click to enlarge)

Trade #6:  March 29 Weekly Expiration BWB - Adjusted four separate days
  • 09-January Entry (post)
  • 11-January Adjustment (post)
  • 22-January Adjustment (post)
  • 30-January Adjustment (post)
  • 02-February Adjustments (post)
  • 05-February Adjustment
  • 06-February Adjustment
  • 08-February Adjustment
  • 09-February Adjustment
(click to enlarge)

Trade #7:  March 29 Weekly Expiration BWB - Adjusted four separate days
  • 09-January Entry (post)
  • 11-January Adjustment (post)
  • 22-January Adjustment (post)
  • 30-January Adjustment (post)
  • 02-February Adjustments (post)
  • 05-February Adjustment
  • 06-February Adjustment
  • 08-February Adjustment
  • 09-February Adjustment
    (click to enlarge)

    I currently have 4 open trades, with expirations in Feb (1) and Mar (3). Total defined risk for these trades is at 58% of the account net liquidation value. My hedging reduced my account exposure.

    (click to enlarge)

    All four trades are currently underwater with negative P&L. Not sure if I mentioned this before, but all of the P&L% numbers in the table below are based on the maximum risk associated with each trade, during the life of the trade.

    (click to enlarge)

    If I were to close all four trades at this time, my account would be down 7.8% for the year ... not terrible considering the market action.

    3 trades have been closed this year, with 3 wins and 0 losses. Realized return on the account/portfolio for the year is at 1.07%.  Total win rate is at 100% including hedges. The win rate on the core trades is also at 100%. These numbers will very likely change if the market continues down and I close out my open trades.

    I will make adjustments to my existing trades as follows:
    • Highly Likely: N/A
    • Likely: N/A
    • Possible: #4, #5, #6, #7
    • Unlikely: N/A


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